Israeli forces have conducted ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon since the 2026 war with Hezbollah began in March, advancing south of the Litani River and reaching the outskirts of Nabatieh by late May. IDF units positioned armor near Arnoun and targeted Hezbollah strongholds amid evacuation orders and strikes on the city through June, though multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefires prompted partial withdrawals and Lebanese army deployments in July. As of mid-August, artillery fire, limited ground incursions, and exchanges continue near Nabatieh despite ongoing Rome talks, with trader sentiment reflecting Hezbollah's defensive posture, Israeli security goals in the north, and the pace of any diplomatic de-escalation that could restrict further advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
$340,042 Vol.
August 31
11%
$340,042 Vol.
August 31
11%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces have conducted ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon since the 2026 war with Hezbollah began in March, advancing south of the Litani River and reaching the outskirts of Nabatieh by late May. IDF units positioned armor near Arnoun and targeted Hezbollah strongholds amid evacuation orders and strikes on the city through June, though multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefires prompted partial withdrawals and Lebanese army deployments in July. As of mid-August, artillery fire, limited ground incursions, and exchanges continue near Nabatieh despite ongoing Rome talks, with trader sentiment reflecting Hezbollah's defensive posture, Israeli security goals in the north, and the pace of any diplomatic de-escalation that could restrict further advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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