Morgan Stanley’s 73% implied probability reflects recent reporting positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, consistent with its leadership of the company’s $15 billion revolving credit facility finalized in early September 2026. Goldman Sachs, at 14.4%, is widely viewed as the likely stabilization agent following its joint selection with Morgan Stanley in June 2026 alongside JPMorgan. These assignments align with the banks’ prominent commitments in the pre-IPO revolver, a structure that historically correlates with senior capital markets mandates. The confidential S-1 filed June 1 remains under SEC review, with a public prospectus now expected in late September and roadshow marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of a potential Nasdaq listing before the November midterms. Market-implied odds embed these syndicate dynamics while acknowledging that final allocations remain subject to execution and any last-minute adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.4%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$66,155 Vol.
$66,155 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
73%
Goldman Sachs
14%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.4%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$66,155 Vol.
$66,155 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
$17,107 Vol.
73%
Goldman Sachs
$12,895 Vol.
14%
JPMorgan
$11,535 Vol.
<1%
Bank of America
$5,606 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$4,211 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,500 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 73% implied probability reflects recent reporting positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, consistent with its leadership of the company’s $15 billion revolving credit facility finalized in early September 2026. Goldman Sachs, at 14.4%, is widely viewed as the likely stabilization agent following its joint selection with Morgan Stanley in June 2026 alongside JPMorgan. These assignments align with the banks’ prominent commitments in the pre-IPO revolver, a structure that historically correlates with senior capital markets mandates. The confidential S-1 filed June 1 remains under SEC review, with a public prospectus now expected in late September and roadshow marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of a potential Nasdaq listing before the November midterms. Market-implied odds embed these syndicate dynamics while acknowledging that final allocations remain subject to execution and any last-minute adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$66,155End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 73% implied probability reflects recent reporting positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, consistent with its leadership of the company’s $15 billion revolving credit facility finalized in early September 2026. Goldman Sachs, at 14.4%, is widely viewed as the likely stabilization agent following its joint selection with Morgan Stanley in June 2026 alongside JPMorgan. These assignments align with the banks’ prominent commitments in the pre-IPO revolver, a structure that historically correlates with senior capital markets mandates. The confidential S-1 filed June 1 remains under SEC review, with a public prospectus now expected in late September and roadshow marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of a potential Nasdaq listing before the November midterms. Market-implied odds embed these syndicate dynamics while acknowledging that final allocations remain subject to execution and any last-minute adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,155End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 73% implied probability reflects recent reporting positioning the bank for the lead-left underwriter role on Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, consistent with its leadership of the company’s $15 billion revolving credit facility finalized in early September 2026. Goldman Sachs, at 14.4%, is widely viewed as the likely stabilization agent following its joint selection with Morgan Stanley in June 2026 alongside JPMorgan. These assignments align with the banks’ prominent commitments in the pre-IPO revolver, a structure that historically correlates with senior capital markets mandates. The confidential S-1 filed June 1 remains under SEC review, with a public prospectus now expected in late September and roadshow marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of a potential Nasdaq listing before the November midterms. Market-implied odds embed these syndicate dynamics while acknowledging that final allocations remain subject to execution and any last-minute adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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