Morgan Stanley’s 66.5% implied probability reflects its positioning as lead-left underwriter for Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, driven by its role leading the company’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent reports that it has led investor discussions on valuation. Goldman Sachs, at 15.0%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, consistent with its mandate on the comparable SpaceX listing earlier this year. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Barclays hold supporting positions tied to their credit commitments, but current syndicate reporting assigns them lower probability for the top slot. The IPO timeline has shifted toward a late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, leaving limited scope for last-minute changes in lead mandates before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorgan Stanley 70%
Goldman Sachs 14%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,236 Vol.
$64,236 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
67%
Goldman Sachs
14%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 70%
Goldman Sachs 14%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,236 Vol.
$64,236 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
$16,971 Vol.
67%
Goldman Sachs
$12,145 Vol.
14%
JPMorgan
$11,535 Vol.
<1%
Bank of America
$5,606 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$3,179 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,500 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 66.5% implied probability reflects its positioning as lead-left underwriter for Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, driven by its role leading the company’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent reports that it has led investor discussions on valuation. Goldman Sachs, at 15.0%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, consistent with its mandate on the comparable SpaceX listing earlier this year. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Barclays hold supporting positions tied to their credit commitments, but current syndicate reporting assigns them lower probability for the top slot. The IPO timeline has shifted toward a late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, leaving limited scope for last-minute changes in lead mandates before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$64,236End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 66.5% implied probability reflects its positioning as lead-left underwriter for Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, driven by its role leading the company’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent reports that it has led investor discussions on valuation. Goldman Sachs, at 15.0%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, consistent with its mandate on the comparable SpaceX listing earlier this year. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Barclays hold supporting positions tied to their credit commitments, but current syndicate reporting assigns them lower probability for the top slot. The IPO timeline has shifted toward a late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, leaving limited scope for last-minute changes in lead mandates before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,236End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 66.5% implied probability reflects its positioning as lead-left underwriter for Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, driven by its role leading the company’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent reports that it has led investor discussions on valuation. Goldman Sachs, at 15.0%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, consistent with its mandate on the comparable SpaceX listing earlier this year. JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Barclays hold supporting positions tied to their credit commitments, but current syndicate reporting assigns them lower probability for the top slot. The IPO timeline has shifted toward a late-September filing and mid-October roadshow, leaving limited scope for last-minute changes in lead mandates before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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