As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and bars arrest or detention on prior charges except for insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his outstanding trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with no new indictments issued through mid-2026. Legislative efforts to override these protections have not advanced, and his administration has maintained stable control amid routine domestic and foreign policy developments. Traders therefore assign low odds to an arrest before the end of 2026, viewing presidential safeguards and the absence of recent prosecutorial momentum as decisive barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7% chance
$529,585 Vol.
$529,585 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$529,585 Vol.
$529,585 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and bars arrest or detention on prior charges except for insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his outstanding trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with no new indictments issued through mid-2026. Legislative efforts to override these protections have not advanced, and his administration has maintained stable control amid routine domestic and foreign policy developments. Traders therefore assign low odds to an arrest before the end of 2026, viewing presidential safeguards and the absence of recent prosecutorial momentum as decisive barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$529,585End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and bars arrest or detention on prior charges except for insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his outstanding trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with no new indictments issued through mid-2026. Legislative efforts to override these protections have not advanced, and his administration has maintained stable control amid routine domestic and foreign policy developments. Traders therefore assign low odds to an arrest before the end of 2026, viewing presidential safeguards and the absence of recent prosecutorial momentum as decisive barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$529,585End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and bars arrest or detention on prior charges except for insurrection or treason. Courts have indefinitely postponed his outstanding trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, with no new indictments issued through mid-2026. Legislative efforts to override these protections have not advanced, and his administration has maintained stable control amid routine domestic and foreign policy developments. Traders therefore assign low odds to an arrest before the end of 2026, viewing presidential safeguards and the absence of recent prosecutorial momentum as decisive barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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