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icon for 洛杉磯市長選舉

洛杉磯市長選舉

icon for 洛杉磯市長選舉

洛杉磯市長選舉

凱倫·巴斯 61%

尼迪亞·拉曼 39.6%

史賓塞·普瑞特 <1%

阿薩德·阿納賈爾 <1%

Polymarket

$11,656,600 交易量

凱倫·巴斯 61%

尼迪亞·拉曼 39.6%

史賓塞·普瑞特 <1%

阿薩德·阿納賈爾 <1%

Polymarket

$11,656,600 交易量

icon for 凱倫·巴斯

凱倫·巴斯

$599,319 交易量

61%

icon for 尼迪亞·拉曼

尼迪亞·拉曼

$969,034 交易量

40%

icon for 史賓塞·普瑞特

史賓塞·普瑞特

$6,805,960 交易量

1%

icon for 阿薩德·阿納賈爾

阿薩德·阿納賈爾

$139,173 交易量

<1%

icon for 奧斯汀·比特納

奧斯汀·比特納

$43,005 交易量

<1%

icon for 莫妮卡·羅德里格斯

莫妮卡·羅德里格斯

$32,857 交易量

<1%

icon for 里克·卡魯索

里克·卡魯索

$493,515 交易量

<1%

icon for 吉娜·維奧拉

吉娜·維奧拉

$166,044 交易量

<1%

icon for 林賽·霍瓦斯

林賽·霍瓦斯

$1,687,268 交易量

<1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$522,752 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞當·米勒

亞當·米勒

$197,675 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear lead in the November runoff after securing the top spot in the June 2 primary with roughly 34 percent of the vote, while Nithya Raman edged out Spencer Pratt for second place through late-counted ballots. Raman, a progressive city council member who entered the race at the filing deadline, consolidated left-leaning support on issues such as housing production and city services. Bass benefits from incumbency advantages, broad geographic backing across Los Angeles precincts, and an endorsement from Governor Gavin Newsom. Pratt's elimination removed the main right-leaning alternative, leaving the contest between two Democrats in a city where voter turnout and coalition dynamics in the general election will determine the final outcome. Trader pricing reflects these primary results and the structural edge for the sitting mayor.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$11,656,600
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear lead in the November runoff after securing the top spot in the June 2 primary with roughly 34 percent of the vote, while Nithya Raman edged out Spencer Pratt for second place through late-counted ballots. Raman, a progressive city council member who entered the race at the filing deadline, consolidated left-leaning support on issues such as housing production and city services. Bass benefits from incumbency advantages, broad geographic backing across Los Angeles precincts, and an endorsement from Governor Gavin Newsom. Pratt's elimination removed the main right-leaning alternative, leaving the contest between two Democrats in a city where voter turnout and coalition dynamics in the general election will determine the final outcome. Trader pricing reflects these primary results and the structural edge for the sitting mayor.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$11,656,600
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"洛杉磯市長選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱倫·巴斯" at 61%, followed by "尼迪亞·拉曼" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "洛杉磯市長選舉" has generated $11.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "洛杉磯市長選舉," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "洛杉磯市長選舉" is "凱倫·巴斯" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "尼迪亞·拉曼" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "洛杉磯市長選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.