Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains and Gulf moisture advection have sustained overnight lows near 77–80°F in Austin through mid-to-late August, consistent with climatological averages around 75°F. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and European models shows limited cooling potential for August 22, with southerly winds and minimal frontal passage keeping minimum temperatures above 74°F under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs indicate slight downward revisions in dew points, yet the 47% market-implied probability on 69°F or below reflects trader focus on any unexpected northerly shift or enhanced radiational cooling. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and local observations tomorrow morning will directly inform resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 22?
69°F or below 44%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
44%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
16%
88°F or higher
26%
69°F or below 44%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
$25 Vol.
44%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$25 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$25 Vol.
17%
86-87°F
$25 Vol.
16%
88°F or higher
$25 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains and Gulf moisture advection have sustained overnight lows near 77–80°F in Austin through mid-to-late August, consistent with climatological averages around 75°F. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and European models shows limited cooling potential for August 22, with southerly winds and minimal frontal passage keeping minimum temperatures above 74°F under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs indicate slight downward revisions in dew points, yet the 47% market-implied probability on 69°F or below reflects trader focus on any unexpected northerly shift or enhanced radiational cooling. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and local observations tomorrow morning will directly inform resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$125End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains and Gulf moisture advection have sustained overnight lows near 77–80°F in Austin through mid-to-late August, consistent with climatological averages around 75°F. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and European models shows limited cooling potential for August 22, with southerly winds and minimal frontal passage keeping minimum temperatures above 74°F under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs indicate slight downward revisions in dew points, yet the 47% market-implied probability on 69°F or below reflects trader focus on any unexpected northerly shift or enhanced radiational cooling. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and local observations tomorrow morning will directly inform resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains and Gulf moisture advection have sustained overnight lows near 77–80°F in Austin through mid-to-late August, consistent with climatological averages around 75°F. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and European models shows limited cooling potential for August 22, with southerly winds and minimal frontal passage keeping minimum temperatures above 74°F under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs indicate slight downward revisions in dew points, yet the 47% market-implied probability on 69°F or below reflects trader focus on any unexpected northerly shift or enhanced radiational cooling. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and local observations tomorrow morning will directly inform resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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