Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Helsinki on August 22, driven by overnight cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under mild high pressure. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 15°C, while the elevated probability on 8°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 10–12°C, so current conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but remain sensitive to 24-hour forecast revisions on wind and precipitation. Traders monitor updated model runs and FMI briefings ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 22?
13°C 49%
8°C or below 38%
14°C 27%
12°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
38%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 49%
8°C or below 38%
14°C 27%
12°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
38%
9°C
$5 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$36 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$5 Vol.
5%
17°C
$28 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$28 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Helsinki on August 22, driven by overnight cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under mild high pressure. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 15°C, while the elevated probability on 8°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 10–12°C, so current conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but remain sensitive to 24-hour forecast revisions on wind and precipitation. Traders monitor updated model runs and FMI briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$107End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Helsinki on August 22, driven by overnight cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under mild high pressure. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 15°C, while the elevated probability on 8°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 10–12°C, so current conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but remain sensitive to 24-hour forecast revisions on wind and precipitation. Traders monitor updated model runs and FMI briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Helsinki on August 22, driven by overnight cloud cover, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under mild high pressure. This consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 15°C, while the elevated probability on 8°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 10–12°C, so current conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but remain sensitive to 24-hour forecast revisions on wind and precipitation. Traders monitor updated model runs and FMI briefings ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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