Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum around 70°F for New York City on June 14, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light west winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 70–75°F bins, as urban heat island effects and above-average temperatures (following daytime highs near 80–83°F) reduce the chance of dropping into the upper 60s. Model consensus shows minimal frontal influence or cloud cover that could enhance cooling, keeping the implied probability concentrated in the mid-70s range while lower outcomes require unexpected clear, calm conditions. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these trader assessments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 giugno?
74-75°F 47%
70-71°F 17%
72-73°F 10%
68-69°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 giu 2026
63°F o inferiore
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
74-75°F 47%
70-71°F 17%
72-73°F 10%
68-69°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 giu 2026
63°F o inferiore
$382 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$696 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$911 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$196 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$159 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$211 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$171 Vol.
47%
76-77°F
$405 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$57 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$976 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum around 70°F for New York City on June 14, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light west winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 70–75°F bins, as urban heat island effects and above-average temperatures (following daytime highs near 80–83°F) reduce the chance of dropping into the upper 60s. Model consensus shows minimal frontal influence or cloud cover that could enhance cooling, keeping the implied probability concentrated in the mid-70s range while lower outcomes require unexpected clear, calm conditions. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these trader assessments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$4,596Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum around 70°F for New York City on June 14, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light west winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 70–75°F bins, as urban heat island effects and above-average temperatures (following daytime highs near 80–83°F) reduce the chance of dropping into the upper 60s. Model consensus shows minimal frontal influence or cloud cover that could enhance cooling, keeping the implied probability concentrated in the mid-70s range while lower outcomes require unexpected clear, calm conditions. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these trader assessments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,596Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a minimum around 70°F for New York City on June 14, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light west winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 70–75°F bins, as urban heat island effects and above-average temperatures (following daytime highs near 80–83°F) reduce the chance of dropping into the upper 60s. Model consensus shows minimal frontal influence or cloud cover that could enhance cooling, keeping the implied probability concentrated in the mid-70s range while lower outcomes require unexpected clear, calm conditions. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these trader assessments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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