Persistent low-pressure systems and enhanced southwest monsoon flows have sustained widespread cloud cover and showers across northern Taiwan, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range in Taipei. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minima clustered around 25–27 °C on 22 August, with high humidity and urban heat retention favoring the upper end of that band. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28 °C. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle on the morning of 22 August will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 22?
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
28°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
19%
23°C
23%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
38%
28°C
24%
29°C
22%
30°C
22%
31°C or higher
6%
27°C 38%
26°C 34%
25°C 27%
28°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
19%
23°C
$5 Vol.
23%
24°C
$5 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1 Vol.
38%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$5 Vol.
22%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent low-pressure systems and enhanced southwest monsoon flows have sustained widespread cloud cover and showers across northern Taiwan, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range in Taipei. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minima clustered around 25–27 °C on 22 August, with high humidity and urban heat retention favoring the upper end of that band. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28 °C. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle on the morning of 22 August will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$36End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent low-pressure systems and enhanced southwest monsoon flows have sustained widespread cloud cover and showers across northern Taiwan, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range in Taipei. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minima clustered around 25–27 °C on 22 August, with high humidity and urban heat retention favoring the upper end of that band. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28 °C. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle on the morning of 22 August will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low-pressure systems and enhanced southwest monsoon flows have sustained widespread cloud cover and showers across northern Taiwan, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and compressing the diurnal temperature range in Taipei. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minima clustered around 25–27 °C on 22 August, with high humidity and urban heat retention favoring the upper end of that band. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26–28 °C. Fresh observational data and the next model cycle on the morning of 22 August will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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