Recent forecasts from official and ensemble models point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow over Taipei on September 22, favoring strong overnight radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum in the low-20s Celsius range. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity limit cloud cover and moisture, while the urban heat island effect and typical pre-dawn timing of the minimum support trader emphasis on 22–23 °C outcomes. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed, with limited downside risk from cooler air advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the Central Weather Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 22?
21°C 39%
24°C 39%
20°C 37%
25°C 37%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
16%
20°C
37%
21°C
39%
22°C
36%
23°C
32%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
16%
21°C 39%
24°C 39%
20°C 37%
25°C 37%
18°C or below
34%
19°C
16%
20°C
37%
21°C
39%
22°C
36%
23°C
32%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official and ensemble models point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow over Taipei on September 22, favoring strong overnight radiative cooling that sets the daily minimum in the low-20s Celsius range. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity limit cloud cover and moisture, while the urban heat island effect and typical pre-dawn timing of the minimum support trader emphasis on 22–23 °C outcomes. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed, with limited downside risk from cooler air advection. Updated runs from agencies such as the Central Weather Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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