**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv overnight into September 6, 2026, driven by stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Light west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 80–90% in pre-dawn hours), and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping much below recent seasonal norms. Numerical guidance, including detailed hourly outputs, shows the temperature bottoming out around 24°C in the early morning before rising after sunrise. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on 25°C (46.5%), followed by nearby values at 24°C and 22°C. No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter this range, supporting trader focus on the 23–26°C band while assigning lower odds to extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
21°C 47%
29°C or higher 47%
25°C 47%
19°C or below 46%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
46%
20°C
14%
21°C
47%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
47%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
47%
21°C 47%
29°C or higher 47%
25°C 47%
19°C or below 46%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$17 Vol.
47%
26°C
$28 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv overnight into September 6, 2026, driven by stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions.**
Light west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 80–90% in pre-dawn hours), and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping much below recent seasonal norms. Numerical guidance, including detailed hourly outputs, shows the temperature bottoming out around 24°C in the early morning before rising after sunrise. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on 25°C (46.5%), followed by nearby values at 24°C and 22°C.
No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter this range, supporting trader focus on the 23–26°C band while assigning lower odds to extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$45End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv overnight into September 6, 2026, driven by stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions.**
Light west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 80–90% in pre-dawn hours), and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping much below recent seasonal norms. Numerical guidance, including detailed hourly outputs, shows the temperature bottoming out around 24°C in the early morning before rising after sunrise. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on 25°C (46.5%), followed by nearby values at 24°C and 22°C.
No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter this range, supporting trader focus on the 23–26°C band while assigning lower odds to extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv overnight into September 6, 2026, driven by stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Light west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 80–90% in pre-dawn hours), and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping much below recent seasonal norms. Numerical guidance, including detailed hourly outputs, shows the temperature bottoming out around 24°C in the early morning before rising after sunrise. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability on 25°C (46.5%), followed by nearby values at 24°C and 22°C. No significant synoptic changes or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs to alter this range, supporting trader focus on the 23–26°C band while assigning lower odds to extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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