Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover overnight into September 5, supporting radiative cooling that positions the lowest temperature near 24–25°C. This aligns with current trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C, underscoring the warmer baseline this season. Minor model spread on exact nocturnal minimum timing and urban heat-island effects creates the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings the following morning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
20°C or below 47%
24°C 45%
30°C or higher 44%
26°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
47%
21°C
22%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
42%
25°C
34%
26°C
42%
27°C
8%
28°C
14%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
44%
20°C or below 47%
24°C 45%
30°C or higher 44%
26°C 42%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$36 Vol.
22%
22°C
$36 Vol.
11%
23°C
$36 Vol.
14%
24°C
$51 Vol.
42%
25°C
$57 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover overnight into September 5, supporting radiative cooling that positions the lowest temperature near 24–25°C. This aligns with current trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C, underscoring the warmer baseline this season. Minor model spread on exact nocturnal minimum timing and urban heat-island effects creates the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings the following morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$216End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover overnight into September 5, supporting radiative cooling that positions the lowest temperature near 24–25°C. This aligns with current trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C, underscoring the warmer baseline this season. Minor model spread on exact nocturnal minimum timing and urban heat-island effects creates the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings the following morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$216End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover overnight into September 5, supporting radiative cooling that positions the lowest temperature near 24–25°C. This aligns with current trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for those outcomes. Sea-surface temperatures near 28°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C, underscoring the warmer baseline this season. Minor model spread on exact nocturnal minimum timing and urban heat-island effects creates the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C, with resolution hinging on official station readings the following morning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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