Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions: light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture or frontal activity that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Historical baselines for the date average around 29°C, with recent observations showing similar or slightly warmer readings amid stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 31–32°C outcomes aligns with model consensus on modest warming from diurnal heating and minimal sea-breeze enhancement, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or insolation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
31°C 53%
32°C 43%
30°C 5%
28°C or below 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
53%
32°C
43%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 43%
30°C 5%
28°C or below 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$591 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,414 Vol.
53%
32°C
$1,172 Vol.
43%
33°C
$421 Vol.
2%
34°C
$160 Vol.
1%
35°C
$165 Vol.
1%
36°C
$160 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions: light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture or frontal activity that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Historical baselines for the date average around 29°C, with recent observations showing similar or slightly warmer readings amid stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 31–32°C outcomes aligns with model consensus on modest warming from diurnal heating and minimal sea-breeze enhancement, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or insolation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,093End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions: light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture or frontal activity that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Historical baselines for the date average around 29°C, with recent observations showing similar or slightly warmer readings amid stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 31–32°C outcomes aligns with model consensus on modest warming from diurnal heating and minimal sea-breeze enhancement, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or insolation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,093End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 6, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions: light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture or frontal activity that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Historical baselines for the date average around 29°C, with recent observations showing similar or slightly warmer readings amid stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 31–32°C outcomes aligns with model consensus on modest warming from diurnal heating and minimal sea-breeze enhancement, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in steering patterns or insolation. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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