Traders see the June 23–30 window as most probable for the next Gemini Pro model—widely understood as Gemini 3.5 Pro—because Google announced the flagship at I/O on May 19 with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly targeting general availability “next month,” yet no firm date or public preview has followed. The tight spread between June 23 (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%), alongside the modest 12.1% on “no release by June 30,” reflects uncertainty over whether Google will meet the self-imposed June deadline or slip into early July, consistent with its pattern of incremental 3.x updates after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Key variables include ongoing internal testing of 2-million-token context and Deep Think reasoning features, supply-chain or certification timing, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models. No major new catalysts are scheduled before late June, leaving the market sensitive to any official confirmation or credible leak on exact rollout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJune 30 25%
June 23 23%
No release by June 30 12.1%
June 22 6.0%
$114,630 Vol.
$114,630 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
3%
June 17
2%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
23%
June 24
4%
June 25
2%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
25%
No release by June 30
12%
June 30 25%
June 23 23%
No release by June 30 12.1%
June 22 6.0%
$114,630 Vol.
$114,630 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 13
$3,166 Vol.
<1%
June 14
$2,635 Vol.
<1%
June 15
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
June 16
$3,410 Vol.
3%
June 17
$3,529 Vol.
2%
June 18
$2,595 Vol.
4%
June 19
$2,546 Vol.
2%
June 20
$1,452 Vol.
1%
June 21
$1,501 Vol.
1%
June 22
$4,593 Vol.
6%
June 23
$4,531 Vol.
23%
June 24
$2,937 Vol.
4%
June 25
$1,439 Vol.
2%
June 26
$3,336 Vol.
6%
June 27
$2,009 Vol.
1%
June 28
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
June 29
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
June 30
$5,678 Vol.
25%
No release by June 30
$17,742 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the June 23–30 window as most probable for the next Gemini Pro model—widely understood as Gemini 3.5 Pro—because Google announced the flagship at I/O on May 19 with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly targeting general availability “next month,” yet no firm date or public preview has followed. The tight spread between June 23 (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%), alongside the modest 12.1% on “no release by June 30,” reflects uncertainty over whether Google will meet the self-imposed June deadline or slip into early July, consistent with its pattern of incremental 3.x updates after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Key variables include ongoing internal testing of 2-million-token context and Deep Think reasoning features, supply-chain or certification timing, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models. No major new catalysts are scheduled before late June, leaving the market sensitive to any official confirmation or credible leak on exact rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$114,630End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the June 23–30 window as most probable for the next Gemini Pro model—widely understood as Gemini 3.5 Pro—because Google announced the flagship at I/O on May 19 with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly targeting general availability “next month,” yet no firm date or public preview has followed. The tight spread between June 23 (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%), alongside the modest 12.1% on “no release by June 30,” reflects uncertainty over whether Google will meet the self-imposed June deadline or slip into early July, consistent with its pattern of incremental 3.x updates after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Key variables include ongoing internal testing of 2-million-token context and Deep Think reasoning features, supply-chain or certification timing, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models. No major new catalysts are scheduled before late June, leaving the market sensitive to any official confirmation or credible leak on exact rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$114,630End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the June 23–30 window as most probable for the next Gemini Pro model—widely understood as Gemini 3.5 Pro—because Google announced the flagship at I/O on May 19 with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly targeting general availability “next month,” yet no firm date or public preview has followed. The tight spread between June 23 (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%), alongside the modest 12.1% on “no release by June 30,” reflects uncertainty over whether Google will meet the self-imposed June deadline or slip into early July, consistent with its pattern of incremental 3.x updates after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Key variables include ongoing internal testing of 2-million-token context and Deep Think reasoning features, supply-chain or certification timing, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models. No major new catalysts are scheduled before late June, leaving the market sensitive to any official confirmation or credible leak on exact rollout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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