Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNH-02 House Election Winner
NH-02 House Election Winner
$16,613 Vol.
$16,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$16,613 Vol.
$16,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,868 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$8,746 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,613End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,613End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic pricing. Recent Saint Anselm College and University of New Hampshire surveys show her ahead of likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams by double-digit margins in a 2024 rematch, supported by her incumbency advantage, name recognition, and fundraising edge in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic. The September 8 primaries introduce limited near-term uncertainty, while national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns, or unexpected polling shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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