Republican Lauren Boebert, the incumbent in Colorado’s 4th district, faces Democrat Eileen Laubacher in the November 2026 general election after both won uncontested primaries on June 30. The district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and status as Colorado’s most Republican-leaning seat underpin the 63.5% Republican price, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Laubacher’s fundraising advantage and background as a retired Navy rear admiral have narrowed the gap to 37.5% for Democrats, though structural factors limit her path. Trader sentiment also incorporates uncertainty around potential national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in candidate positioning or turnout patterns ahead of the November ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
$11,022 Vol.
$11,022 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
38%
$11,022 Vol.
$11,022 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,906 Vol.
64%
Democratic Party
$2,116 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lauren Boebert, the incumbent in Colorado’s 4th district, faces Democrat Eileen Laubacher in the November 2026 general election after both won uncontested primaries on June 30. The district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and status as Colorado’s most Republican-leaning seat underpin the 63.5% Republican price, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Laubacher’s fundraising advantage and background as a retired Navy rear admiral have narrowed the gap to 37.5% for Democrats, though structural factors limit her path. Trader sentiment also incorporates uncertainty around potential national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in candidate positioning or turnout patterns ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,022End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lauren Boebert, the incumbent in Colorado’s 4th district, faces Democrat Eileen Laubacher in the November 2026 general election after both won uncontested primaries on June 30. The district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and status as Colorado’s most Republican-leaning seat underpin the 63.5% Republican price, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Laubacher’s fundraising advantage and background as a retired Navy rear admiral have narrowed the gap to 37.5% for Democrats, though structural factors limit her path. Trader sentiment also incorporates uncertainty around potential national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in candidate positioning or turnout patterns ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,022End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Lauren Boebert, the incumbent in Colorado’s 4th district, faces Democrat Eileen Laubacher in the November 2026 general election after both won uncontested primaries on June 30. The district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and status as Colorado’s most Republican-leaning seat underpin the 63.5% Republican price, reflecting its consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Laubacher’s fundraising advantage and background as a retired Navy rear admiral have narrowed the gap to 37.5% for Democrats, though structural factors limit her path. Trader sentiment also incorporates uncertainty around potential national midterm dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in candidate positioning or turnout patterns ahead of the November ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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