Skip to main content
icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

$2,941 Vol.

97%

icon for David Crowley

David Crowley

$53 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong's commanding position in the Dane County portion of Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from her role as state representative for a Madison-area district, combined with robust grassroots organizing among progressive voters in the county. As a democratic socialist emphasizing policies like universal childcare, public banking, and higher taxes on high earners, she has generated consistent polling leads and national attention that translate into strong local turnout expectations ahead of the vote. Other contenders, including Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, former state official Joel Brennan, and state Senator Kelda Roys, draw more support from different regions and face structural disadvantages in Hong's home base. While the outcome remains subject to final voter participation and any late developments in the short window before primary day, a significant shift would require unusual consolidation behind one rival or unexpected changes in local mobilization patterns.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Volume
$2,995
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong's commanding position in the Dane County portion of Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from her role as state representative for a Madison-area district, combined with robust grassroots organizing among progressive voters in the county. As a democratic socialist emphasizing policies like universal childcare, public banking, and higher taxes on high earners, she has generated consistent polling leads and national attention that translate into strong local turnout expectations ahead of the vote. Other contenders, including Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, former state official Joel Brennan, and state Senator Kelda Roys, draw more support from different regions and face structural disadvantages in Hong's home base. While the outcome remains subject to final voter participation and any late developments in the short window before primary day, a significant shift would require unusual consolidation behind one rival or unexpected changes in local mobilization patterns.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Volume
$2,995
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Francesca Hong" at 97%, followed by "David Crowley" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" is "Francesca Hong" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Crowley" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.