Recent polling from early August shows Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan in a statistical tie statewide for the August 11 Democratic primary, with each around 40-42% and others splitting the remainder. Craig, the U.S. representative whose district covers Dakota County, bypassed the DFL endorsing convention to appeal directly to primary voters, while Flanagan secured the party endorsement. Differences on border security, healthcare, and affordability have fueled targeted advertising, but limited separation in surveys reflects overlapping progressive and moderate support bases. County-level results could hinge on turnout among suburban Democrats familiar with Craig's record, with the three-day window leaving little room for late shifts before ballots close.