The open-seat Nevada 2nd congressional district favors the Republican nominee David Flippo due to its partisan baseline, with Republicans holding a registration edge exceeding 3-to-2 and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Flippo secured the June primary with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary. A July poll showed the candidates nearly tied at 46-48 percent, yet trader consensus reflects the district's historical Republican margins and limited recent Democratic success there. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader electoral environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$29,571 Vol.
$29,571 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
22%
$29,571 Vol.
$29,571 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,562 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$14,009 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat Nevada 2nd congressional district favors the Republican nominee David Flippo due to its partisan baseline, with Republicans holding a registration edge exceeding 3-to-2 and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Flippo secured the June primary with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary. A July poll showed the candidates nearly tied at 46-48 percent, yet trader consensus reflects the district's historical Republican margins and limited recent Democratic success there. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader electoral environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$29,571End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat Nevada 2nd congressional district favors the Republican nominee David Flippo due to its partisan baseline, with Republicans holding a registration edge exceeding 3-to-2 and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Flippo secured the June primary with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary. A July poll showed the candidates nearly tied at 46-48 percent, yet trader consensus reflects the district's historical Republican margins and limited recent Democratic success there. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader electoral environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,571End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat Nevada 2nd congressional district favors the Republican nominee David Flippo due to its partisan baseline, with Republicans holding a registration edge exceeding 3-to-2 and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Flippo secured the June primary with former President Trump's endorsement, while Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary. A July poll showed the candidates nearly tied at 46-48 percent, yet trader consensus reflects the district's historical Republican margins and limited recent Democratic success there. The November 3 general election outcome hinges on turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader electoral environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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