North Korea conducted three distinct missile test events in August 2026, consisting of single short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These activities aligned with the annual Ulchi Freedom Shield joint exercises between the United States and South Korea, which were curtailed at U.S. direction amid diplomatic signals toward Pyongyang. The limited number of test days, rather than individual missiles fired, has produced strong trader consensus around fewer than four events. Additional unreported launches late in the month or reclassification of the August 20 barrage as separate tests remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<4 98.2%
4 <1%
5 <1%
6+ <1%
$44,990 Vol.
$44,990 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
Yes
4
No
5
No
6+
No
<4 98.2%
4 <1%
5 <1%
6+ <1%
$44,990 Vol.
$44,990 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
$16,143 Vol.
Yes
4
$2,706 Vol.
No
5
$7,952 Vol.
No
6+
$18,189 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three distinct missile test events in August 2026, consisting of single short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These activities aligned with the annual Ulchi Freedom Shield joint exercises between the United States and South Korea, which were curtailed at U.S. direction amid diplomatic signals toward Pyongyang. The limited number of test days, rather than individual missiles fired, has produced strong trader consensus around fewer than four events. Additional unreported launches late in the month or reclassification of the August 20 barrage as separate tests remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$44,990End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three distinct missile test events in August 2026, consisting of single short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These activities aligned with the annual Ulchi Freedom Shield joint exercises between the United States and South Korea, which were curtailed at U.S. direction amid diplomatic signals toward Pyongyang. The limited number of test days, rather than individual missiles fired, has produced strong trader consensus around fewer than four events. Additional unreported launches late in the month or reclassification of the August 20 barrage as separate tests remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$44,990End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
North Korea conducted three distinct missile test events in August 2026, consisting of single short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, followed by a salvo of roughly ten short-range systems from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These activities aligned with the annual Ulchi Freedom Shield joint exercises between the United States and South Korea, which were curtailed at U.S. direction amid diplomatic signals toward Pyongyang. The limited number of test days, rather than individual missiles fired, has produced strong trader consensus around fewer than four events. Additional unreported launches late in the month or reclassification of the August 20 barrage as separate tests remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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