MrBeast’s latest long-form video has followed a steady accumulation trajectory consistent with his recent high-profile releases, locking in overwhelming trader consensus around the 72-73 million views bucket on day six at near-certain implied probability. His 500-plus million subscriber base, cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification for spectacle-driven content produce predictable early momentum that rarely deviates sharply after the initial 48-72 hours. Historical patterns for similar challenge or competition videos reinforce this tight clustering, with view velocity slowing into a narrow band by midweek. An upset into adjacent brackets would require an abrupt surge from unexpected external boosts or a sudden plateau from content fatigue—both viewed as low-probability outliers given the current data trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 6?
# of views of MrBeast video day 6?
72-73M 100.0%
<70M <1%
70-71M <1%
71-72M <1%
$16,169 Vol.
$16,169 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<70M
No
70-71M
No
71-72M
No
72-73M
Yes
73-74M
No
74M+
No
72-73M 100.0%
<70M <1%
70-71M <1%
71-72M <1%
$16,169 Vol.
$16,169 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<70M
$832 Vol.
No
70-71M
$793 Vol.
No
71-72M
$2,202 Vol.
No
72-73M
$3,916 Vol.
Yes
73-74M
$3,441 Vol.
No
74M+
$4,985 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 144 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 144 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s latest long-form video has followed a steady accumulation trajectory consistent with his recent high-profile releases, locking in overwhelming trader consensus around the 72-73 million views bucket on day six at near-certain implied probability. His 500-plus million subscriber base, cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification for spectacle-driven content produce predictable early momentum that rarely deviates sharply after the initial 48-72 hours. Historical patterns for similar challenge or competition videos reinforce this tight clustering, with view velocity slowing into a narrow band by midweek. An upset into adjacent brackets would require an abrupt surge from unexpected external boosts or a sudden plateau from content fatigue—both viewed as low-probability outliers given the current data trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 144 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 144 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Volume
$16,169End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTwResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 144 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 144 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s latest long-form video has followed a steady accumulation trajectory consistent with his recent high-profile releases, locking in overwhelming trader consensus around the 72-73 million views bucket on day six at near-certain implied probability. His 500-plus million subscriber base, cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification for spectacle-driven content produce predictable early momentum that rarely deviates sharply after the initial 48-72 hours. Historical patterns for similar challenge or competition videos reinforce this tight clustering, with view velocity slowing into a narrow band by midweek. An upset into adjacent brackets would require an abrupt surge from unexpected external boosts or a sudden plateau from content fatigue—both viewed as low-probability outliers given the current data trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 144 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 144 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$16,169End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTwResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
MrBeast’s latest long-form video has followed a steady accumulation trajectory consistent with his recent high-profile releases, locking in overwhelming trader consensus around the 72-73 million views bucket on day six at near-certain implied probability. His 500-plus million subscriber base, cross-platform promotion, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification for spectacle-driven content produce predictable early momentum that rarely deviates sharply after the initial 48-72 hours. Historical patterns for similar challenge or competition videos reinforce this tight clustering, with view velocity slowing into a narrow band by midweek. An upset into adjacent brackets would require an abrupt surge from unexpected external boosts or a sudden plateau from content fatigue—both viewed as low-probability outliers given the current data trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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