MrBeast Gaming's consistent first-day performance, fueled by its 59.8 million subscribers, high-production Minecraft and challenge formats, and reliable Saturday noon releases that capitalize on YouTube's recommendation algorithms, underpins the overwhelming 98.8% market-implied odds for the 17.5–20M bracket. Recent uploads such as the September 13 "I Survived 100 Days on One Block" video quickly amassed views in this range, reflecting strong viewer retention and cross-promotion from the main MrBeast channel. While this consensus reflects traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of historical patterns, outcomes could shift if the next video features weaker thumbnails, lower engagement hooks, unexpected scheduling changes, or broader platform algorithm adjustments that reduce visibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
17.5–20M 98.8%
<7.5M <1%
7.5–10M <1%
10–12.5M <1%
$108,001 Vol.
$108,001 Vol.
<7.5M
No
7.5–10M
No
10–12.5M
No
12.5–15M
No
15–17.5M
No
17.5–20M
Yes
20M+
No
17.5–20M 98.8%
<7.5M <1%
7.5–10M <1%
10–12.5M <1%
$108,001 Vol.
$108,001 Vol.
<7.5M
No
7.5–10M
No
10–12.5M
No
12.5–15M
No
15–17.5M
No
17.5–20M
Yes
20M+
No
If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MrBeast Gaming's consistent first-day performance, fueled by its 59.8 million subscribers, high-production Minecraft and challenge formats, and reliable Saturday noon releases that capitalize on YouTube's recommendation algorithms, underpins the overwhelming 98.8% market-implied odds for the 17.5–20M bracket. Recent uploads such as the September 13 "I Survived 100 Days on One Block" video quickly amassed views in this range, reflecting strong viewer retention and cross-promotion from the main MrBeast channel. While this consensus reflects traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of historical patterns, outcomes could shift if the next video features weaker thumbnails, lower engagement hooks, unexpected scheduling changes, or broader platform algorithm adjustments that reduce visibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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