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icon for Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

The Black Ball 79%

Fatherland 5.9%

Possible Love 5.8%

Fjord 4.5%

Polymarket

$32,485 Vol.

The Black Ball 79%

Fatherland 5.9%

Possible Love 5.8%

Fjord 4.5%

Polymarket

$32,485 Vol.

The Black Ball

$15,262 Vol.

79%

Fatherland

$1,590 Vol.

6%

Possible Love

$1,713 Vol.

6%

Fjord

$1,792 Vol.

5%

All of a Sudden

$1,713 Vol.

3%

Minotaur

$1,758 Vol.

2%

The Dreamed Adventure

$554 Vol.

1%

Parallel Tales

$715 Vol.

1%

Sheep in the Box

$704 Vol.

1%

Coward

$1,501 Vol.

<1%

Bitter Christmas

$693 Vol.

<1%

The Beloved

$1,841 Vol.

<1%

Rose

$1,254 Vol.

<1%

The Man I Love

$690 Vol.

<1%

Hope

$705 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market, with its 79% implied probability driven by Spain’s official selection on September 16 following a Cannes Best Director win and strong festival momentum at Telluride and Toronto. The Netflix-backed queer epic spanning generations of gay men in war-torn Spain benefits from critical acclaim, star power including Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close, and an ambitious awards campaign positioned for potential cross-category recognition. A broad field of contenders, including Palme d’Or winner Fjord, previous Oscar winner Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland, and submissions like Possible Love and All of a Sudden, trails amid early-cycle uncertainty. The Academy shortlist arrives December 15, with nominees set for January 21 and the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,485
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the Oscars 2027 Best International Feature Film market, with its 79% implied probability driven by Spain’s official selection on September 16 following a Cannes Best Director win and strong festival momentum at Telluride and Toronto. The Netflix-backed queer epic spanning generations of gay men in war-torn Spain benefits from critical acclaim, star power including Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close, and an ambitious awards campaign positioned for potential cross-category recognition. A broad field of contenders, including Palme d’Or winner Fjord, previous Oscar winner Pawel Pawlikowski’s Fatherland, and submissions like Possible Love and All of a Sudden, trails amid early-cycle uncertainty. The Academy shortlist arrives December 15, with nominees set for January 21 and the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,485
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Black Ball" at 79%, followed by "Fatherland" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner" has generated $32.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner" is "The Black Ball" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fatherland" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.