Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, driven by expanded laying flocks following the 2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the $2.00–$2.25 range for the May average. With national production rebounding and wholesale prices holding near $0.50–$1.80 per dozen amid lighter seasonal demand post-Easter, April’s BLS-reported average of $2.25 has extended the downward trend from 2025 peaks above $5. Market-implied odds reflect this stabilization, as limited new HPAI detections and steady feed costs reduce upside volatility while preventing a sharper drop below $2.00. The narrow clustering of probabilities signals trader consensus that May will track recent monthly prints closely, with resolution hinging on final BLS data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.00–$2.25 63%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 3.5%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
63%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
4%
$2.75–$3.00
2%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 63%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 3.5%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
63%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
4%
$2.75–$3.00
2%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, driven by expanded laying flocks following the 2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks, continues to anchor trader sentiment around the $2.00–$2.25 range for the May average. With national production rebounding and wholesale prices holding near $0.50–$1.80 per dozen amid lighter seasonal demand post-Easter, April’s BLS-reported average of $2.25 has extended the downward trend from 2025 peaks above $5. Market-implied odds reflect this stabilization, as limited new HPAI detections and steady feed costs reduce upside volatility while preventing a sharper drop below $2.00. The narrow clustering of probabilities signals trader consensus that May will track recent monthly prints closely, with resolution hinging on final BLS data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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