South Korea's Q3 2026 GDP growth (YoY) market reflects closely matched trader consensus between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% bands amid sustained semiconductor export momentum that propelled Q2 expansion to 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ. Government forecasts now target 3.0% for the full year after upward revisions, supported by AI-driven chip shipments, while Bank of Korea and OECD projections cluster near 2.5–2.6%. Key swing factors include potential softening in private consumption and industrial production, rising inflation pressures near 3.1%, and external risks from energy volatility or global demand shifts. Upcoming monthly export data and Q3 advance estimates will likely determine whether growth sustains above or moderates below the 3% threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0–3.4% 36%
2.5–2.9% 32%
3.5–3.9% 21.7%
2.0–2.4% 11%
$37,974 Vol.
$37,974 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<2.0%
2%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
32%
3.0–3.4%
36%
3.5–3.9%
22%
4.0–4.4%
1%
4.5–4.9%
1%
5.0%+
1%
3.0–3.4% 36%
2.5–2.9% 32%
3.5–3.9% 21.7%
2.0–2.4% 11%
$37,974 Vol.
$37,974 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<2.0%
$533 Vol.
2%
2.0–2.4%
$11,847 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$3,551 Vol.
32%
3.0–3.4%
$20,153 Vol.
36%
3.5–3.9%
$752 Vol.
22%
4.0–4.4%
$507 Vol.
1%
4.5–4.9%
$317 Vol.
1%
5.0%+
$314 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea's Q3 2026 GDP growth (YoY) market reflects closely matched trader consensus between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% bands amid sustained semiconductor export momentum that propelled Q2 expansion to 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ. Government forecasts now target 3.0% for the full year after upward revisions, supported by AI-driven chip shipments, while Bank of Korea and OECD projections cluster near 2.5–2.6%. Key swing factors include potential softening in private consumption and industrial production, rising inflation pressures near 3.1%, and external risks from energy volatility or global demand shifts. Upcoming monthly export data and Q3 advance estimates will likely determine whether growth sustains above or moderates below the 3% threshold.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$37,974End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea's Q3 2026 GDP growth (YoY) market reflects closely matched trader consensus between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% bands amid sustained semiconductor export momentum that propelled Q2 expansion to 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ. Government forecasts now target 3.0% for the full year after upward revisions, supported by AI-driven chip shipments, while Bank of Korea and OECD projections cluster near 2.5–2.6%. Key swing factors include potential softening in private consumption and industrial production, rising inflation pressures near 3.1%, and external risks from energy volatility or global demand shifts. Upcoming monthly export data and Q3 advance estimates will likely determine whether growth sustains above or moderates below the 3% threshold.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Volume
$37,974End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea's Q3 2026 GDP growth (YoY) market reflects closely matched trader consensus between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% bands amid sustained semiconductor export momentum that propelled Q2 expansion to 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ. Government forecasts now target 3.0% for the full year after upward revisions, supported by AI-driven chip shipments, while Bank of Korea and OECD projections cluster near 2.5–2.6%. Key swing factors include potential softening in private consumption and industrial production, rising inflation pressures near 3.1%, and external risks from energy volatility or global demand shifts. Upcoming monthly export data and Q3 advance estimates will likely determine whether growth sustains above or moderates below the 3% threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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