Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend has locked in around $70 million domestically, the second-highest such frame ever behind only The Force Awakens, reflecting the film’s robust audience retention after a record $360 million opening and a still-solid $144 million second weekend. Sustained word-of-mouth, strong family and fan appeal, and limited competition have supported steady daily holds, pushing the title past $785 million domestic and $2 billion worldwide in under three weeks. With final numbers imminent and no major reporting variances expected, trader consensus heavily favors the 70-72 million band. An upset into the low 60s would require unprecedented negative adjustments or a sudden collapse in walk-up business not signaled by current tracking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 96.4%
72m+ 3.9%
68-70m <1%
<66m <1%
$79,853 Vol.
$79,853 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
<1%
66-68m
<1%
68-70m
1%
70-72m
96%
72m+
4%
70-72m 96.4%
72m+ 3.9%
68-70m <1%
<66m <1%
$79,853 Vol.
$79,853 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
$10,860 Vol.
<1%
66-68m
$7,637 Vol.
<1%
68-70m
$20,758 Vol.
1%
70-72m
$10,535 Vol.
96%
72m+
$30,063 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend has locked in around $70 million domestically, the second-highest such frame ever behind only The Force Awakens, reflecting the film’s robust audience retention after a record $360 million opening and a still-solid $144 million second weekend. Sustained word-of-mouth, strong family and fan appeal, and limited competition have supported steady daily holds, pushing the title past $785 million domestic and $2 billion worldwide in under three weeks. With final numbers imminent and no major reporting variances expected, trader consensus heavily favors the 70-72 million band. An upset into the low 60s would require unprecedented negative adjustments or a sudden collapse in walk-up business not signaled by current tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$79,853End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend has locked in around $70 million domestically, the second-highest such frame ever behind only The Force Awakens, reflecting the film’s robust audience retention after a record $360 million opening and a still-solid $144 million second weekend. Sustained word-of-mouth, strong family and fan appeal, and limited competition have supported steady daily holds, pushing the title past $785 million domestic and $2 billion worldwide in under three weeks. With final numbers imminent and no major reporting variances expected, trader consensus heavily favors the 70-72 million band. An upset into the low 60s would require unprecedented negative adjustments or a sudden collapse in walk-up business not signaled by current tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$79,853End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend has locked in around $70 million domestically, the second-highest such frame ever behind only The Force Awakens, reflecting the film’s robust audience retention after a record $360 million opening and a still-solid $144 million second weekend. Sustained word-of-mouth, strong family and fan appeal, and limited competition have supported steady daily holds, pushing the title past $785 million domestic and $2 billion worldwide in under three weeks. With final numbers imminent and no major reporting variances expected, trader consensus heavily favors the 70-72 million band. An upset into the low 60s would require unprecedented negative adjustments or a sudden collapse in walk-up business not signaled by current tracking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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