Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues to dominate the domestic box office into its fifth weekend with minimal counterprogramming, as its fourth-frame $39 million haul reflected a healthy 45 percent decline that still outpaced most recent blockbusters at this stage. Traders see the 20-24 million band as the most likely range because the Marvel title’s strong word-of-mouth and family appeal have produced better-than-expected weekday holds, yet typical fifth-weekend erosion and the approach of Labor Day will exert downward pressure. The film’s cumulative $855 million domestic total already places it among the highest-grossing releases ever, giving it legs that could push the upcoming frame toward the upper end of the 20-24 million corridor if audience demand remains steady through the holiday stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
22-24m 49%
20-22m 48%
<20m 41%
26m+ 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
41%
20-22m
48%
22-24m
49%
24-26m
24%
26m+
28%
22-24m 49%
20-22m 48%
<20m 41%
26m+ 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
$1 Vol.
41%
20-22m
$0 Vol.
48%
22-24m
$0 Vol.
49%
24-26m
$0 Vol.
24%
26m+
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues to dominate the domestic box office into its fifth weekend with minimal counterprogramming, as its fourth-frame $39 million haul reflected a healthy 45 percent decline that still outpaced most recent blockbusters at this stage. Traders see the 20-24 million band as the most likely range because the Marvel title’s strong word-of-mouth and family appeal have produced better-than-expected weekday holds, yet typical fifth-weekend erosion and the approach of Labor Day will exert downward pressure. The film’s cumulative $855 million domestic total already places it among the highest-grossing releases ever, giving it legs that could push the upcoming frame toward the upper end of the 20-24 million corridor if audience demand remains steady through the holiday stretch.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$1End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues to dominate the domestic box office into its fifth weekend with minimal counterprogramming, as its fourth-frame $39 million haul reflected a healthy 45 percent decline that still outpaced most recent blockbusters at this stage. Traders see the 20-24 million band as the most likely range because the Marvel title’s strong word-of-mouth and family appeal have produced better-than-expected weekday holds, yet typical fifth-weekend erosion and the approach of Labor Day will exert downward pressure. The film’s cumulative $855 million domestic total already places it among the highest-grossing releases ever, giving it legs that could push the upcoming frame toward the upper end of the 20-24 million corridor if audience demand remains steady through the holiday stretch.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues to dominate the domestic box office into its fifth weekend with minimal counterprogramming, as its fourth-frame $39 million haul reflected a healthy 45 percent decline that still outpaced most recent blockbusters at this stage. Traders see the 20-24 million band as the most likely range because the Marvel title’s strong word-of-mouth and family appeal have produced better-than-expected weekday holds, yet typical fifth-weekend erosion and the approach of Labor Day will exert downward pressure. The film’s cumulative $855 million domestic total already places it among the highest-grossing releases ever, giving it legs that could push the upcoming frame toward the upper end of the 20-24 million corridor if audience demand remains steady through the holiday stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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