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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 94%

Tires: Season 3 3.1%

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 <1%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket

$66,499 Vol.

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 94%

Tires: Season 3 3.1%

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 <1%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket

$66,499 Vol.

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$26,168 Vol.

94%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$32,334 Vol.

3%

icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$3,633 Vol.

1%

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$2,431 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$588 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mourinho: Season 1

Mourinho: Season 1

$1,345 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The recent August 12 release of Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes has fueled overwhelming trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the #2 U.S. Netflix spot this week. Fresh unreleased prison recordings and the enduring appeal of true-crime documentaries in the platform’s algorithm have driven early viewing momentum, outpacing other recent premieres. Tires Season 3, which dropped August 13, and returning titles like My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 sit at far lower odds. An upset could occur if a competing comedy or drama achieves stronger initial completion rates or benefits from weekend binging surges that push the Manson series below the threshold.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$66,499
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The recent August 12 release of Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes has fueled overwhelming trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for the #2 U.S. Netflix spot this week. Fresh unreleased prison recordings and the enduring appeal of true-crime documentaries in the platform’s algorithm have driven early viewing momentum, outpacing other recent premieres. Tires Season 3, which dropped August 13, and returning titles like My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 sit at far lower odds. An upset could occur if a competing comedy or drama achieves stronger initial completion rates or benefits from weekend binging surges that push the Manson series below the threshold.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$66,499
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" at 94%, followed by "Tires: Season 3" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" has generated $66.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.