The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced growth-inflation risks underpins the 97.3% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue assessing higher oil prices’ impact on inflation, which reached 2.6% year-over-year in April and exceeds the 2% target, while first-quarter GDP growth holds near 1.7% supported by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish signals from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on considering future rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent approach and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim probabilities of an increase before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Corée en mai ?
Aucun changement 97.2%
Augmentation 2.8%
Baisse <1%
$104,154 Vol.
$104,154 Vol.
Baisse
<1%
Aucun changement
97%
Augmentation
3%
Aucun changement 97.2%
Augmentation 2.8%
Baisse <1%
$104,154 Vol.
$104,154 Vol.
Baisse
<1%
Aucun changement
97%
Augmentation
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced growth-inflation risks underpins the 97.3% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue assessing higher oil prices’ impact on inflation, which reached 2.6% year-over-year in April and exceeds the 2% target, while first-quarter GDP growth holds near 1.7% supported by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish signals from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on considering future rate hikes have not altered trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent approach and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim probabilities of an increase before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes