The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 2026 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to assess the impact of higher oil prices on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year, which exceeds the 2% target yet aligns with prior projections, while first-quarter GDP growth remains supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not shifted trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike before the next policy meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Corée en mai ?
Aucun changement 97.0%
Augmentation 3.0%
Baisse <1%
$104,152 Vol.
$104,152 Vol.
Baisse
<1%
Aucun changement
97%
Augmentation
3%
Aucun changement 97.0%
Augmentation 3.0%
Baisse <1%
$104,152 Vol.
$104,152 Vol.
Baisse
<1%
Aucun changement
97%
Augmentation
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 2026 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties and balanced risks to growth and inflation underpins the 97% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers continue to assess the impact of higher oil prices on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year, which exceeds the 2% target yet aligns with prior projections, while first-quarter GDP growth remains supported near 1.7% by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai signaling consideration of future rate hikes have not shifted trader consensus, given the institution’s data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike before the next policy meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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