With the May 24 House of Representatives election nine days away, trader consensus prices DISY at 78.5% implied probability to win the most seats among the 56 Greek Cypriot positions, driven by its consistent polling edge over AKEL in proportional representation across six districts. Recent surveys, including RAI Consultants (May 1–11: DISY 24.5%, AKEL 20.5%) and IMR/Unic (May 1–11: DISY 23.3%, AKEL 21.1%), project DISY securing 15 seats to AKEL's 14, amid fragmentation boosting ELAM (14%) and ALMA (10%). Record 753 candidacies filed on May 6 underscore vote-splitting risks for challengers, with parliament dissolved April 23 triggering the contest. No party nears the 29-seat majority threshold, setting up post-election coalition talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants de Chypre
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants de Chypre
DISY 79%
AKEL 19%
ELAM <1%
DIPA <1%
$34,230 Vol.
$34,230 Vol.
DISY
79%
AKEL
19%
ELAM
1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DISY 79%
AKEL 19%
ELAM <1%
DIPA <1%
$34,230 Vol.
$34,230 Vol.
DISY
79%
AKEL
19%
ELAM
1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the May 24 House of Representatives election nine days away, trader consensus prices DISY at 78.5% implied probability to win the most seats among the 56 Greek Cypriot positions, driven by its consistent polling edge over AKEL in proportional representation across six districts. Recent surveys, including RAI Consultants (May 1–11: DISY 24.5%, AKEL 20.5%) and IMR/Unic (May 1–11: DISY 23.3%, AKEL 21.1%), project DISY securing 15 seats to AKEL's 14, amid fragmentation boosting ELAM (14%) and ALMA (10%). Record 753 candidacies filed on May 6 underscore vote-splitting risks for challengers, with parliament dissolved April 23 triggering the contest. No party nears the 29-seat majority threshold, setting up post-election coalition talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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