Recent National Weather Service and extended forecasts indicate a high near 82–83°F for Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Seasonal cooling typical of late August, when average highs fall from near 88°F early in the month toward 84°F, combines with increasing cloud cover and isolated late-day thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable moisture and steering winds, keeping probabilities split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August data and current observational trends reinforce this narrow range as the most likely resolution ahead of final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Denver le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Denver le 15 août ?
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 35%
84-85 °F 16%
78-79°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
73°F ou moins
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
40%
84-85 °F
16%
86-87 °F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 35%
84-85 °F 16%
78-79°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
73°F ou moins
$681 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$618 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$1,288 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,000 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$482 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$372 Vol.
40%
84-85 °F
$1,945 Vol.
16%
86-87 °F
$1,448 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$183 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$114 Vol.
<1%
92°F ou plus
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and extended forecasts indicate a high near 82–83°F for Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Seasonal cooling typical of late August, when average highs fall from near 88°F early in the month toward 84°F, combines with increasing cloud cover and isolated late-day thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable moisture and steering winds, keeping probabilities split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August data and current observational trends reinforce this narrow range as the most likely resolution ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,422Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and extended forecasts indicate a high near 82–83°F for Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Seasonal cooling typical of late August, when average highs fall from near 88°F early in the month toward 84°F, combines with increasing cloud cover and isolated late-day thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable moisture and steering winds, keeping probabilities split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August data and current observational trends reinforce this narrow range as the most likely resolution ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,422Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and extended forecasts indicate a high near 82–83°F for Denver on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Seasonal cooling typical of late August, when average highs fall from near 88°F early in the month toward 84°F, combines with increasing cloud cover and isolated late-day thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable moisture and steering winds, keeping probabilities split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August data and current observational trends reinforce this narrow range as the most likely resolution ahead of final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes