Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 15 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 15 mai ?
30°C ou plus 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 Vol.
$29,603 Vol.
15 mai 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Oui
30°C ou plus 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 Vol.
$29,603 Vol.
15 mai 2026
20°C ou moins
$486 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,471 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,277 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,278 Vol.
Non
24°C
$430 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,673 Vol.
Non
26°C
$1,623 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,106 Vol.
Non
28°C
$5,053 Vol.
Non
29°C
$3,422 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$9,783 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$29,603Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,603Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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