Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 17 mai ?
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
17 mai 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
17 mai 2026
22°C ou moins
$1,494 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,930 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,351 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,848 Vol.
100%
28°C
$2,717 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,999 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,243 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,587 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$2,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$30,156Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,156Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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