Official meteorological observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute confirm that Helsinki’s maximum temperature on May 16 reached 19 °C, anchoring the market-implied probability for this exact threshold at essentially 100 %. Synoptic station data and quality-controlled hourly readings show no exceedance of the next higher bin, consistent with the prevailing cool northerly flow and limited daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology for the Helsinki region places average daily maxima near 15–17 °C, so the observed value represents a modest positive anomaly yet remains well below thresholds that would shift the distribution. Minor post-processing adjustments to the official record remain possible but are statistically rare once preliminary data have been released.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$63,158 Vol.
$63,158 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$63,158 Vol.
$63,158 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official meteorological observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute confirm that Helsinki’s maximum temperature on May 16 reached 19 °C, anchoring the market-implied probability for this exact threshold at essentially 100 %. Synoptic station data and quality-controlled hourly readings show no exceedance of the next higher bin, consistent with the prevailing cool northerly flow and limited daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. Historical May climatology for the Helsinki region places average daily maxima near 15–17 °C, so the observed value represents a modest positive anomaly yet remains well below thresholds that would shift the distribution. Minor post-processing adjustments to the official record remain possible but are statistically rare once preliminary data have been released.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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