Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on May 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,403 Vol.
$17,403 Vol.
14 mai 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,403 Vol.
$17,403 Vol.
14 mai 2026
67°F or below
$814 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$375 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$764 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$6,477 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$654 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$380 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$327 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$556 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,759 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,151 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$2,146 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volume
$17,403Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,403Date de fin
14 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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