National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus currently points to a Houston high near 87 °F on May 16, supported by southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while allowing daytime heating. The near-even split between the 88 °F-or-higher and 86–87 °F bins reflects subtle forecast uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud-cover timing, both of which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °F. May climatology at Hobby Airport places the daily average high at 86 °F, providing a baseline against which today’s slightly above-normal readings are being weighed by traders. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether the market tilts decisively toward the upper 80s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
88°F or higher 46%
86-87°F 40%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 2.0%
$25,781 Vol.
$25,781 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
40%
88°F or higher
46%
88°F or higher 46%
86-87°F 40%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 2.0%
$25,781 Vol.
$25,781 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
40%
88°F or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus currently points to a Houston high near 87 °F on May 16, supported by southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling while allowing daytime heating. The near-even split between the 88 °F-or-higher and 86–87 °F bins reflects subtle forecast uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud-cover timing, both of which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °F. May climatology at Hobby Airport places the daily average high at 86 °F, providing a baseline against which today’s slightly above-normal readings are being weighed by traders. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether the market tilts decisively toward the upper 80s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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