Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position Milan’s daily maximum temperature near 21°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with the May climatological average of around 21°C for the Po Valley, producing the market’s strong 64.5% implied probability for 21°C and 26% for 22°C. Modest spread in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential thin convective cloud cover keeps 20°C and 23°C as plausible tail outcomes, while current observations through midday show no significant deviations that would shift the consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 17 mai ?
21°C 66%
22°C 26%
20°C 7%
23°C 6%
$23,362 Vol.
$23,362 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
66%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 66%
22°C 26%
20°C 7%
23°C 6%
$23,362 Vol.
$23,362 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
66%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position Milan’s daily maximum temperature near 21°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with the May climatological average of around 21°C for the Po Valley, producing the market’s strong 64.5% implied probability for 21°C and 26% for 22°C. Modest spread in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential thin convective cloud cover keeps 20°C and 23°C as plausible tail outcomes, while current observations through midday show no significant deviations that would shift the consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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