Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 21–22°C for Milan on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 64.5% and 20.0% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions across northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, have kept temperatures near seasonal norms rather than triggering the stronger warming seen in earlier model runs. Official guidance highlights afternoon peaks around 21°C under clear skies, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in maximum insolation. Historical May averages for the city fall between 19–23°C, providing context for why traders have concentrated probability on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 17 mai ?
21°C 66%
22°C 22%
23°C 7%
20°C 6%
$22,807 Vol.
$22,807 Vol.
17 mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
66%
22°C
22%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 66%
22°C 22%
23°C 7%
20°C 6%
$22,807 Vol.
$22,807 Vol.
17 mai 2026
15°C or below
$405 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,552 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,960 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,014 Vol.
6%
21°C
$2,408 Vol.
66%
22°C
$2,441 Vol.
22%
23°C
$2,967 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,583 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 21–22°C for Milan on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 64.5% and 20.0% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions across northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, have kept temperatures near seasonal norms rather than triggering the stronger warming seen in earlier model runs. Official guidance highlights afternoon peaks around 21°C under clear skies, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in maximum insolation. Historical May averages for the city fall between 19–23°C, providing context for why traders have concentrated probability on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$22,807Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 21–22°C for Milan on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 64.5% and 20.0% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions across northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, have kept temperatures near seasonal norms rather than triggering the stronger warming seen in earlier model runs. Official guidance highlights afternoon peaks around 21°C under clear skies, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in maximum insolation. Historical May averages for the city fall between 19–23°C, providing context for why traders have concentrated probability on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,807Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily high of 21–22°C for Milan on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 64.5% and 20.0% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions across northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, have kept temperatures near seasonal norms rather than triggering the stronger warming seen in earlier model runs. Official guidance highlights afternoon peaks around 21°C under clear skies, with only modest uncertainty from localized urban heat effects or slight timing shifts in maximum insolation. Historical May averages for the city fall between 19–23°C, providing context for why traders have concentrated probability on this narrow range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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