Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 17 mai ?
16°C 84%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
$92,804 Vol.
$92,804 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
84%
17°C
20%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 84%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.4%
19°C <1%
$92,804 Vol.
$92,804 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
84%
17°C
20%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes