Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 19 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 19 mai ?
58°F ou plus 96.5%
56-57 °F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.3%
52-53°F <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
39°F ou moins
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45 °F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57 °F
2%
58°F ou plus
97%
58°F ou plus 96.5%
56-57 °F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.3%
52-53°F <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
39°F ou moins
$690 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
44-45 °F
$603 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$541 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$818 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$188 Vol.
1%
56-57 °F
$23 Vol.
2%
58°F ou plus
$258 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,533Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,533Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEALatest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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