Recent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$68,514 Vol.
$68,514 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$68,514 Vol.
$68,514 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,321 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,971 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,783 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,810 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,510 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$12,926 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$68,514Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,514Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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