Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 19 mai ?
28°C 26%
29°C 20%
27°C 16%
26°C 6%
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31°C ou plus
6%
28°C 26%
29°C 20%
27°C 16%
26°C 6%
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31°C ou plus
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty around Tel Aviv’s peak temperature on May 19, with 28°C and 29°C emerging as the leading outcomes due to ensemble variability in daytime heating. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is expected to promote subsidence warming, while onshore flow from the Mediterranean Sea introduces cooling via sea-breeze circulation. Recent model runs show slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover that could shift maximums by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology places typical highs near 27°C, yet current steering patterns allow for modest positive anomalies. New high-resolution guidance from global and regional models will further narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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