Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance highlights variable synoptic patterns over the Great Lakes region, with southerly flow and weak high-pressure ridging favoring daytime highs near 30°C for Toronto on May 18. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 29–32°C, as modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines for mid-May average 18–20°C, yet current 500-hPa heights and dewpoint advection indicate above-normal warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Forecasters will issue final updates by early morning, when new radiosonde data and high-resolution runs refine the thermal maximum and confirm whether lake-breeze moderation keeps readings at or below 30°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 18 mai ?
30°C 27%
32°C ou plus 21%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
NOUVEAU
$15,116 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,116 Vol.
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C ou plus
21%
30°C 27%
32°C ou plus 21%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
NOUVEAU
$15,116 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,116 Vol.
18 mai 2026
22°C or below
$4,277 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$658 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,468 Vol.
1%
27°C
$692 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,522 Vol.
13%
29°C
$1,170 Vol.
20%
30°C
$591 Vol.
27%
31°C
$737 Vol.
21%
32°C ou plus
$1,409 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance highlights variable synoptic patterns over the Great Lakes region, with southerly flow and weak high-pressure ridging favoring daytime highs near 30°C for Toronto on May 18. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 29–32°C, as modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines for mid-May average 18–20°C, yet current 500-hPa heights and dewpoint advection indicate above-normal warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Forecasters will issue final updates by early morning, when new radiosonde data and high-resolution runs refine the thermal maximum and confirm whether lake-breeze moderation keeps readings at or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$15,116Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance highlights variable synoptic patterns over the Great Lakes region, with southerly flow and weak high-pressure ridging favoring daytime highs near 30°C for Toronto on May 18. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 29–32°C, as modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines for mid-May average 18–20°C, yet current 500-hPa heights and dewpoint advection indicate above-normal warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Forecasters will issue final updates by early morning, when new radiosonde data and high-resolution runs refine the thermal maximum and confirm whether lake-breeze moderation keeps readings at or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,116Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance highlights variable synoptic patterns over the Great Lakes region, with southerly flow and weak high-pressure ridging favoring daytime highs near 30°C for Toronto on May 18. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 29–32°C, as modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines for mid-May average 18–20°C, yet current 500-hPa heights and dewpoint advection indicate above-normal warmth without extreme heat-wave signals. Forecasters will issue final updates by early morning, when new radiosonde data and high-resolution runs refine the thermal maximum and confirm whether lake-breeze moderation keeps readings at or below 30°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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