Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. Historical mid-May climatology in the region shows average highs of 26–29°C, placing the current forecast squarely within the seasonal norm rather than an outlier. Traders assign an overwhelming 98.3% implied probability to the 28°C outcome because official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market and recent model runs exhibit minimal spread. A sudden increase in afternoon cloud cover or a shift to stronger northerly winds could still cap the peak at 27°C or push it to 29°C, though such adjustments remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 mai ?
28°C 99.5%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$50,352 Vol.
$50,352 Vol.
17 mai 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.5%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$50,352 Vol.
$50,352 Vol.
17 mai 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$14,144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,641 Vol.
100%
29°C
$2,909 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,924 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,671 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,668 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. Historical mid-May climatology in the region shows average highs of 26–29°C, placing the current forecast squarely within the seasonal norm rather than an outlier. Traders assign an overwhelming 98.3% implied probability to the 28°C outcome because official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market and recent model runs exhibit minimal spread. A sudden increase in afternoon cloud cover or a shift to stronger northerly winds could still cap the peak at 27°C or push it to 29°C, though such adjustments remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$50,352Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. Historical mid-May climatology in the region shows average highs of 26–29°C, placing the current forecast squarely within the seasonal norm rather than an outlier. Traders assign an overwhelming 98.3% implied probability to the 28°C outcome because official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market and recent model runs exhibit minimal spread. A sudden increase in afternoon cloud cover or a shift to stronger northerly winds could still cap the peak at 27°C or push it to 29°C, though such adjustments remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,352Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. Historical mid-May climatology in the region shows average highs of 26–29°C, placing the current forecast squarely within the seasonal norm rather than an outlier. Traders assign an overwhelming 98.3% implied probability to the 28°C outcome because official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market and recent model runs exhibit minimal spread. A sudden increase in afternoon cloud cover or a shift to stronger northerly winds could still cap the peak at 27°C or push it to 29°C, though such adjustments remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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