Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-member Legislative Yuan, lack the three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) required under the ROC Constitution to formally impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 97.9% on "No" by June 30. Proceedings, initiated in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations like refusing to sign fiscal legislation, advanced with hearings this week—including a second session on May 14 where Lai and DPP lawmakers boycotted—but face certain failure at the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote. Absent massive DPP defections or procedural shifts, the math precludes passage, though Constitutional Court review would follow any unlikely approval.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLai Ching-te mis en accusation avant le 30 juin ?
Lai Ching-te mis en accusation avant le 30 juin ?
Oui
$618,592 Vol.
$618,592 Vol.
Oui
$618,592 Vol.
$618,592 Vol.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties KMT and TPP, holding 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-member Legislative Yuan, lack the three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) required under the ROC Constitution to formally impeach President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 97.9% on "No" by June 30. Proceedings, initiated in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations like refusing to sign fiscal legislation, advanced with hearings this week—including a second session on May 14 where Lai and DPP lawmakers boycotted—but face certain failure at the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote. Absent massive DPP defections or procedural shifts, the math precludes passage, though Constitutional Court review would follow any unlikely approval.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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