Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 17 juin ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 17 juin ?
64-65 °F 32%
62-63 °F 26%
60-61 °F 20%
66-67°F 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juin 2026
53°F ou moins
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61 °F
17%
62-63 °F
26%
64-65 °F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
3%
70-71 °F
1%
72°F ou plus
<1%
64-65 °F 32%
62-63 °F 26%
60-61 °F 20%
66-67°F 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 juin 2026
53°F ou moins
$433 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$499 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$648 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$232 Vol.
3%
60-61 °F
$222 Vol.
17%
62-63 °F
$192 Vol.
26%
64-65 °F
$145 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$72 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$414 Vol.
3%
70-71 °F
$553 Vol.
1%
72°F ou plus
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,511Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,511Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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