Skip to main content
icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11
Élections·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11
Élections·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11

Jeremy Moss 93.3%

Aisha Farooqi 3.5%

Andy Levin 1.1%

Don Ufford <1%

Polymarket

$20,497 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 93.3%

Aisha Farooqi 3.5%

Andy Levin 1.1%

Don Ufford <1%

Polymarket

$20,497 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$9,117 Vol.

93%

Aisha Farooqi

$6,093 Vol.

3%

Andy Levin

$4,071 Vol.

1%

Don Ufford

$654 Vol.

1%

Dave Woodward

$563 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,497
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$20,497
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jeremy Moss » à 93%, suivi de « Aisha Farooqi » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11 » a généré $20.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11 » est « Jeremy Moss » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aisha Farooqi » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-11 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.