Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in Mississippi's 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in March primaries. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, Kelly's prior 69.8 percent general-election margin, and the absence of any Republican primary challenge underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican with no competitive polling or significant campaign shifts reported since the primaries. A substantial national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting Kelly, or unexpectedly high turnout in Democratic-leaning suburban areas near Memphis represent the main factors that could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du MS-01 House Election
Vainqueur du MS-01 House Election
$114,918 Vol.
$114,918 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
2%
$114,918 Vol.
$114,918 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$82,923 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$31,995 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in Mississippi's 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in March primaries. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, Kelly's prior 69.8 percent general-election margin, and the absence of any Republican primary challenge underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican with no competitive polling or significant campaign shifts reported since the primaries. A substantial national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting Kelly, or unexpectedly high turnout in Democratic-leaning suburban areas near Memphis represent the main factors that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$114,918Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in Mississippi's 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in March primaries. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, Kelly's prior 69.8 percent general-election margin, and the absence of any Republican primary challenge underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican with no competitive polling or significant campaign shifts reported since the primaries. A substantial national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting Kelly, or unexpectedly high turnout in Democratic-leaning suburban areas near Memphis represent the main factors that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$114,918Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson in Mississippi's 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in March primaries. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, Kelly's prior 69.8 percent general-election margin, and the absence of any Republican primary challenge underpin the market's strong Republican consensus. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly Republican with no competitive polling or significant campaign shifts reported since the primaries. A substantial national Democratic wave, a major scandal affecting Kelly, or unexpectedly high turnout in Democratic-leaning suburban areas near Memphis represent the main factors that could narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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