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Élections·Élection Principale

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Élections·Élection Principale

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 76%

Nebojša Vukanović 8%

Draško Stanivuković 7%

Branko Blanuša <1%

Polymarket

$16,170 Vol.

Željka Cvijanović 76%

Nebojša Vukanović 8%

Draško Stanivuković 7%

Branko Blanuša <1%

Polymarket

$16,170 Vol.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$13,876 Vol.

76%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$655 Vol.

8%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$350 Vol.

7%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$350 Vol.

1%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$939 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds a commanding position in the race for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting her incumbency since 2022 and the structural strength of the ruling SNSD party. Recent diplomatic engagements, including meetings with U.S. officials and participation in international forums, have highlighted her visibility and reinforced institutional support amid ongoing entity-level dynamics. The narrow February 2026 victory of SNSD ally Siniša Karan in the Republika Srpska presidential contest, following the disputed November 2025 vote, further signals party continuity that traders associate with her prospects. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, who announced his candidacy in early May, Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša remain divided with limited unified polling, contributing to their lower implied probabilities in the current trader consensus.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,170
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds a commanding position in the race for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting her incumbency since 2022 and the structural strength of the ruling SNSD party. Recent diplomatic engagements, including meetings with U.S. officials and participation in international forums, have highlighted her visibility and reinforced institutional support amid ongoing entity-level dynamics. The narrow February 2026 victory of SNSD ally Siniša Karan in the Republika Srpska presidential contest, following the disputed November 2025 vote, further signals party continuity that traders associate with her prospects. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, who announced his candidacy in early May, Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša remain divided with limited unified polling, contributing to their lower implied probabilities in the current trader consensus.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,170
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Željka Cvijanović » à 76%, suivi de « Nebojša Vukanović » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 76¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » a généré $16.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » est « Željka Cvijanović » à 76%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Nebojša Vukanović » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.