Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGrace Meng 90%
Charles Park 15.4%
Yan Xiong <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 juin 2026
Grace Meng
90%
Charles Park
15%
Yan Xiong
<1%
Grace Meng 90%
Charles Park 15.4%
Yan Xiong <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 juin 2026
Grace Meng
$687 Vol.
90%
Charles Park
$520 Vol.
15%
Yan Xiong
$736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$1,943Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,943Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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